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Potential for Change in Iraqi Business Environment

In Iraq, major infrastructure, like access to water, sanitation, and electricity, is in short supply. There is enormous potential for substantial projects to be undertaken that could help put unemployed, under-skilled Iraqis to work and help improve the lives of ordinary citizens.

But for some reason, projects in Iraq aren’t finished, electrical cables aren’t built, water isn’t provided, and oil production is the same as it was before the US invasion in 2003. Considering the potential for development, it can be difficult to understand why nobody can start a business and why businesses that do start can’t do anything. In the U.S., coming out of high school, I started a business selling soccer jerseys. It took $20 and 15 minutes to get a tax license, and another $10 lining up a place to sell. It’s not hard to put your name on a form and get to work.

(U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Carmichael Yepez/Released)
(U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Carmichael Yepez/Released)

So take the case of Aziz Kudari, highlighted by Adam Davidson in an NPR interview. Mr. Kudari is an Iraqi businessman who contracted with the US government in 2006 to install electrical generators at health clinics in Iraq. Ideally, clinics wouldn’t have even needed generators, because electricity would have already been available. But they did, and he had to move just one generator, from Amman, Jordan to Baghdad. Not wanting to take the direct highway through Anbar province because of security fears, he decided to take a circuitous route through Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Three weeks later, his single generator was still stuck on the Jordan-Saudi border, waiting for paperwork. Kudari could only wait, interminably, for the red tape to unwind and for the generator to start moving again.

Even on bad roads, some movement is almost always possible. There’s always a tiny bit of progress to be made. But in the face on an entrenched, inefficient bureaucracy, even the best-laid business plans can go awry. Corruption is a major hurdle that businesses have to contend with, particularly if they want to transport their goods along Iraq’s major highways. A 2010 Economist article reported that there were something like 40 security checkpoints on the main highway between Baghdad and Tikrit. They’ve essentially turned into customs stations though, where a truck driver pays around $9 if he has all of his papers in order and many times that if he doesn’t. Security checkpoints are now so lucrative that they’re being bought and sold, sometimes for something like $45,000, which is an incredible sum where the per capita GDP is around $3800. Even if a businessman could afford the $360 to move something 118 miles, the inefficiency of having to stop and wait in a line 40 separate times slows commerce on the road to a crawl.

(Photo: IRIN)
(Photo: IRIN)

The biggest problem, though, for businesspeople, factory owners, and ordinary citizens is the lack of access to reliable electricity. Major enterprises usually require generators to stay in operation, and may encounter problems similar to Mr. Kudari’s, though the security situation in Anbar has improved since 2006. Buying fuel in bulk to run them required paperwork (and presumably bribes) to be filed at five different government ministries for one businessman, which took up the majority of the time he could have spent otherwise improving his factory. Electricity output throughout the country has more than doubled, but so has usage. An International Republican Institute survey in 2010 asked Iraqis in five northern provinces how they felt oil revenues should be spent, with 45% responding that basic services like water and electricity were most important, well above other priorities like job creation, security, or education.

Situations like this make it even more important to promote entrepreneurship and partnership among the youth who will lead Iraq into the future. People who work together, and really view the community and the country as something in which they have a vested interest, are more likely to look for their own creative solutions to Iraq’s very real problems.

A Youth Bulge Can Make Unemployment Difficult to Handle

Unemployment throughout the Middle East and North Africa is a serious concern for policy-makers around the world. Demonstrations in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Syria and even Bahrain have largely drawn their government-toppling mettle from the energy of disaffected urban youths, whose education has shown them the benefits of living in the modern world but whose job prospects don’t match up. Limited in their options by politically oppressive ruling factions, these young people have taken to the streets in shows of anti-government anger on an unprecedented scale.

The trends that helped bring out youthful ferocity are not present only in the nations that have seen rebellion. Similar demographic and political conditions are present from Iraq to Morocco, and suggest that the so-called “Arab Spring” may not yet have run its course.

In some of the oil-rich areas of the Middle East, the people are kept acquiescent by the largesse of the political regime. Using oil revenue, governments ensure peaceful streets by dispensing well-paid and secure state jobs in exchange for less freedom. Saddam Hussein, like the rulers of the modern Gulf States, disguised weak employment and minimal opportunity in the private sector by offering jobs in the public sector. Over many years, however, the public sector became the only viable sector of the economy. Almost the entire bulk of reasonably talented Iraqis went into government work, and the vast majority of the middle class made their living in Saddam’s bureaucracy. When the United States ousted him and laid off thousands of government employees, these people lost their only source of income. However, because the existing private sector was so weak, and because the culture of entrepreneurship had been so atrophied by years of the brightest individuals working in the public sector, private sector growth turned into a major disappointment. With the significantly slimmed-down government cutting out old public jobs, many people have found that there is no opportunity anywhere save the informal economy.

Exacerbating the unemployment problem caused by the loss of jobs in government has been a jump in the fertility rate between 1975 and 1990. Children born during those years are coming to working age when the economy is least able to absorb them into meaningful employment. And though they don’t have the same volatile mix of university education and no opportunity that plagued Egypt and Tunisia, they have experienced the disappointment of promises for a better tomorrow not coming to fruition. Employment problems fall particularly hard upon the young, who often find when they grow up that the best jobs are already taken or have disappeared.

To fill that gap, international and Iraqi projects, both government sponsored and non-government sponsored, are working to rebuild the country. Many of them have chosen to focus their efforts on the youth as a way to simultaneously overcome scars of the past and foster an environment of entrepreneurship that will hopefully keep creating jobs—and a more prosperous Iraq—well into the future.

Update: This UN article suggests a brain drain if nothing is done about unemployment, which could make matters even more difficult.